Why LeBron James and Carmelo Anthony should opt into their current deals?
Over the long term, LeBron James and Carmelo Anthony will make more money. Instead of signing a five year deal this offseason for about $130 million, the two stars can make $21 million this season and then sign a similar $130 million deal the next summer. Although opting in would be allow the duo to score more money, Melo and LeBron have earned so much money over their careers on and off the court that they will look for a better team than money. If LeBron and Carmelo opt into their current deals, they will have a better chance at winning multiple titles in the future. Next season, James and Melo will have a difficult time winning a championship, if they remain on their same teams.
Although James will have a chance to win a title, Melo will have absolutely no chance of winning a title or even a playoff round next year. Without any cap room, no draft picks, and a first year head coach, the Knicks will be unable to improve their squad which did not even make the playoffs this season. Although Melo will likely make the playoffs next season as a six or seven seed because JR Smith will have a better season, Chandler will play better defense, Amar’e played well at the end of last season, and Tim Hardaway should improve from his solid freshman performance, Melo wants to become a legend and a champion, which will not happen without help.
Along with Melo’s problems, James will have trouble winning another championship with his current teammates. Unless a miracle occurs, Wade retires, and Bosh leaves Miami, LeBron will have the same team. Dwyane Wade’s knees make him an inconsistent star and Chris Bosh is not a number two that can help LeBron reach a title. This season, LeBron was forced to carry the Heat and it has visibly taken a tole on the best and strongest player in the world. If the duo waits a year, they can create a new big three and win a few more titles. In 2015, the Heat will have very little on their payroll and will be able to sign three stars.
Along with the Heat, the Knicks will have a lot of cap room and be able to sign 3 stars. During the summer of 2015, Kevin Love, Chris Bosh, Dwyane Wade, Carmelo Anthony, Rajon Rondo, LeBron James, LaMarcus Aldridge, and Brook Lopez will be free agents. Any combination of LeBron, Melo, and another star would instantly make the Knicks or Heat instant contenders and the favorite to win the championship. The triplet of LeBron, Melo, and Kevin Love would give Melo and LeBron the best chance of winning multiple championships in the future. Unlike the other stars, Love is only 25 and is entering the prime of his career. When the duo reaches their age 35 season, Love would be 30 and carry the team. As seen from the current Miami Big Three, the Heat frequently have trouble rebounding against the bigger teams. Love is an overall better player than Bosh because he is a better three point shooter and is willing to rebound at a high level, unlike Bosh. Also, at this stage of his career, Carmelo Anthony is a better player than Dwyane Wade. Due to Wade’s injured knees, he does not have the same explosiveness and his jumper is inconsistent. Although Melo will eventually age, his ability to hit jumpers will make his skills diminish at a slower pace.
Why LeBron James and Carmelo Anthony should opt out of their current deals?
Although in a perfect world LeBron and Melo would opt into their current deals, become free agents, and form a new big three, the possibility of the plan laid out above is highly unlikely. Under the current circumstances, Carmelo is high likely to opt out of his current deal because he cannot stand another season of horrendous basketball. If Melo opts out of his current deal, he will have many enticing options this offseason, including the Bulls, Lakers, and Rockets. The Bulls have Derrick Rose, although frequently injured, Jimmy Butler, and Joakim Noah. The Lakers have Bryant, a top ten pick in a stud draft, but most importantly they are the Lakers and Kevin Love desperately wants to return home and play for the Lakers.
The combination of Love, Bryant, Anthony, and Julius Randle would give the Lakers and Anthony a great chance at winning multiple titles over the next few years. Although Bryant will eventually retire, Randle, Anthony, and Love would be a great big three that could win multiple championships because Randle and Love have yet to enter their prime. Also, the Lakers have shown a willingness to spend money in order to build a strong bench. Although the Rockets will have to finagle and trade a few big contracts, they could sign Anthony and pair him with Howard and Harden. Although the option of LeBron and Love would be the best choice, the other teams would prove as great opportunities for Anthony and his hope to win a championship.
While it would prove best for Anthony top opt out, James may opt out in order to sign his max long term deal. James may be able to convince Bosh or Wade to take less money in order to sign and form a deeper bench. However, it is undecided if Bosh will reunite with the Heat as the third wheel on Miami. Although he has won two championships, he receives the most criticism on the team and his numbers have been declining over the past few seasons. Also, it is unlikely that Love will find his way to Miami because the Timberwolves are likely to trade him and if he goes to free agency the Lakers are the best option for him. If Miami wins another title against the Spurs, LeBron will be more likely to stay and believe that he can win a few more titles with Miami.
As March Madness approaches and the NBA playoff picture becomes clear, prospects are trying their best to impress scouts so they can hear their name called by commissioner Adam Silver. This draft class has been hyped since the summer, and now we are starting to appreciate why franchises may be willing to “tank” for high draft picks. It is rare to have 4-5 franchise players in the top 10, as well as other talented players projected to fall to the mid teens. GMs have their work to do. Here is my mock draft, which is subject to change based on draft position (#1-#21 from position standing on 3-3-14 and #22 to end from 3-13-14) and whether players will declare for the NBA draft.
1.) Milwaukee Bucks- Joel Embiid (Center- Kansas)
Why the Pick: Joel Embiid came into his freshmen season as the mystery of the Kansas Jayhawks’ recruiting class, overshadowed by the talent of Wayne Selden and Andrew Wiggins. Now, Embiid has emerged as one of the best players in the country. Scouts compare him to a young Hakeem Olajuwon, one of the best centers of all-time with a litany of vicious post moves that would stun defenders. Embiid has earned this comparison(http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=5Irvvb7Y4-w) and might be a better defender than Olajuwon was when he was at Houston. Embiid’s numbers don’t shout superstar as he only averages 11.4 ppg and 8 rpg but what drives the interest is his upside — he can become the best center in the NBA. And savvy evaluators know Embiid has to compete currently for shots with Wiggins and Selden, two prolific wing players with NBA futures themselves.
How does he fit the Bucks: Embiid may have a tough rookie season as he would need to adjust to playing more physical centers and the attention he would attract as the main scoring option. The Bucks also have Larry Sanders, a defensive player who takes up most of the paint and would leave Embiid fighting for position. The Bucks could try to trade Sanders but his poor performance this season combined with his hefty contract makes him an unattractive option. If the Bucks can deal Sanders, then Embiid would likely flourish and reach his Olajuwon-like potential.
2.) Philadelphia 76ers- Andrew Wiggins (Forward- Kansas)
Why the Pick: If the 76ers land at number 2 and Wiggins is still available, expect them to sprint to the podium to make this pick. Now Wiggins came to college with unfair expectations, drawing comparisons to LeBron James and Kevin Durant, the two best players in the NBA. As the season has progressed, we are starting to see why these comparisons were made. Watching Wiggins drop 41 on West Virginia, (where he played high school ball), he showed a full array of offensive moves and defensive tenacity. His athleticism is off the charts, and at the absolute worst, Wiggins will be able to guard premier wing players in the NBA. Some question his motor but Andrew has shown that when the lights get bright, he won’t disappoint. He tends to have his best games in the biggest games. Everyone will be watching Kansas during the tournament, and it won’t surprise me if Wiggins takes over and proves why he is the best player in America.
How he fits: With Michael Carter-Williams as the front runner for ROY (Look at Jon’s article for his predictions on the major NBA awards) and Nerlens Noel recovering from a torn ACL, the 76ers would have one the youngest cores in the NBA. And given the pitiful 76er season, Wiggins would undoubtedly create excitement in the city of brotherly love. Wiggins would immediately become the primary scorer and expected to average between 18-22 ppg. If Brett Brown can tap into Wiggins’ potential, the Sixers could be for real very soon.
3.) Orlando Magic- Jabari Parker (Forward-Duke)
Why the Pick: The Magic need a franchise player who can score and Parker would help solve this problem as he can score in bunches. He can face up and bring players to the outside and body smaller players down low with his 6’8 235 lbs frame. Averaging 19 and 9, Parker can take over a game with his ability to knock down shots and take pressure off bigs on the defensive glass. Parker also brings leadership and a high basketball IQ that has impressed scouts. Future potential is a great asset, but being able to contribute immediately is Parker’s calling card. Parker is a game changer and the Magic need immediate help.
How he fits: Parker would step into the 3 spot and establish himself as the main scoring threat. With Victor Oladipo and Arron Afflalo at the wings, things could get crowded but Afflalo only has 1 year left on his contract so he can be moved on draft day. With the defensive threat of Oladipo and the offensive prowess of Parker, the Magic would improve and have a solid nucleus of talent.
4.) Boston Celtics- Julius Randle (Forward-Kentucky)
Why the pick: Julius Randle is probably the best equipped to deal with the NBA’s physical punishment of the top like picks as he stands 6’9 250 lbs. Randle is extremely athletic (http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=zt8pMZ7Gg-M) and shoots well from about 15-20 ft. He doesn’t shoot as much at Kentucky because of the perimeter-oriented players like the Harrison twins and James Young. There is no doubt that Randle could be a double-double machine in the NBA and may develop into a primary scorer.
How he fits: With the coaching ability of Brad Stevens and the return of Rajon Rondo, Randle should be just fine in terms of having success in his rookie year. Imagine a Rajon Rondo/Julius Randle pick and roll, with Rondo’s ability to get into the lane if the big comes out and switches, combined with Randle’s size against a smaller guard. This duo could be potent. Boston would still be in rebuilding mode though as they have numerous holes to fill.
5.) Utah Jazz- Gary Harris (Guard-Michigan State)
Why the Pick: The Jazz have a nice young nucleus with Trey Burke, Gordon Hayward and Derrick Favors, but they lack a defensive stopper. Gary Harris is a tremendous two-player who could guard the elite playmakers in the West. He averages 17.7 ppg and 2 spg for the Spartans but his numbers don’t encompass his true value as Harris is asked to take all the big shots for Coach Izzo and he creates shots by himself. This is an important quality for any two-guard as scoring in the NBA won’t always be generated from a drawn-up set.
How he fits: Alec Burks is a good offensive player but he is nowhere near the overall player that Harris is, hence why Harris would start on the currently constructed Jazz team. Come crunch time, Tyrone Corbin should feel comfortable throwing Harris on the opposing teams’ best player.
6.) Los Angeles Lakers- Dante Exum (Guard-Australia)
Why the Pick: Sorry Lakers fans, the Kobe days are dwindling and they will need an heir to the franchise. Enter Dante Exum, the slim guard from down under. Exum is a super-quick combo guard who, standing at 6’6 is a nightmare for smaller guards. He can also pass, making him an even more intriguing prospect. He needs to work on his shot and his time training with the renowned Tim Grover (trainer of MJ, Kobe and D-Wade) should be beneficial. If Exum falls this far, there is no doubt the Lakers should take him.
How he fits: This draft process could be interesting as Exum is represented by Rob Pelinka, Kobe’s agent and rumors are swirling that Exum wants to end up in LA. All that hoopla aside, Exum will be a secondary type of scorer but learning from one of the most prolific scorers in history of the NBA shouldn’t hurt. After Kobe’s days are done, look for Exum to assert himself as the Lakers’ superstar.
7.) Denver Nuggets (Pick from Knicks)- Marcus Smart (Guard Oklahoma State)
Why the Pick: Even though Smart has had a down sophomore season, make no mistake his talent is off the charts. He can penetrate and finish at the rim and is a tenacious defender. He is also a vocal leader, evident by his invitation to last years’ Team USA summer camp. Frankly, the overreaction to Smart’s incident in Texas Tech is disappointing and I don’t think his stock will be impacted by the incident. He desperately needs to work on his outside shooting and even if he becomes a 45% percent shooter, his game will improve.
How he fits: Smart is deadly on the fast break and Denver currently averages 100 offensive possessions, best for 3rd in the NBA, making Smart a perfect fit for Brian Shaw’s up-tempo style. Smart won’t have the pressure of being the main scorer as Ty Lawson has that covered. Smart should start though, as the Nuggets don’t have a real threat at the two-guard position.
8.) Sacramento Kings- Aaron Gordon (Forward-Arizona)
Why the Pick: Gordon, like Wiggins was given an unfair comparison, this time comparing Gordon to Blake Griffin. While the two are both supremely athletic, Blake was much more refined in college and now has become a top 10 player in the NBA. Gordon can rebound, play defense on the perimeter and is a terrific passer in the post. His shot needs work, but his outside game will never be the focal point of Gordon’s success. Gordon also has a hot motor, a value overlooked by many fans.
How he fits: The Kings have a boatload of individual talent in Isaiah Thomas, Ben McLemore, Rudy Gay, Derrick Williams and DeMarcus Cousins but the wins are coming. Gordon won’t put up gaudy stats in his rookie year but he will definitely provide the necessary intangibles to win games. He reminds me of another Wildcat, Andre Iguodala, who never put up ridiculous stats, but has been a team leader and can defend the other team’s best player.
Why the Pick: With Luol Deng going to test free agency and LeBron not thinking about going back home, the Cavs are going to need a scoring wing player. Hood has a strong offensive array, combing individual moves with the ability to come off of Duke’s typical sreen-action. He is shooting 48 percent from the field and 42.5 percent from the three and has played a tremendous secondary role for Duke. He needs to work on his defense, which is strange for a Duke player from the Coach K system, but with more time and good NBA coaching, he should improve.
How he fits: Hood probably will be a third option on a good team, but for the Cavs he could be the second option behind Kyrie. The Cavaliers could use a knock-down shooter to reap the kick-outs of Kyrie’s driving prowess and Hood fits. Hood doesn’t have the potential as some of the previous prospects, but he should be good for 15-18ppg for his career, making him a safe pick for the troubled Cavaliers.
10.) Philadelphia 76ers (Pick from New Orleans)- Zach LaVine (Guard UCLA)
Why the Pick: The 76ers could change their franchise if New Orleans falls out the top 5 (part of the protection of this pick) and LaVine would provide an even more athletic piece to this team, already loaded with young talent. LaVine can shoot although he is a bit streaky evident by his 14 games with less than 10 points yet he has 8 games with over 15 points. These numbers don’t scream lottery pick, but his potential is worth the risk for the Sixers. He shoots 40 percent from behind the arc, and averaging a steal per game, LaVine does play both ends of the courts.
How he fits: LaVine can handle the ball, which would enable Michael Carter to play off the ball more and since LaVine can shoot he would open up driving lanes. Just imagine a Michael Carter Williams, Zach LaVine, Andrew Wiggins, Thaddeus Young and Nerlens Noel lineup, not bad at all. The 76ers like to push the tempo, which would allow the super-athletic LaVine to get out on the break and finish at the rim.
11.) Charlotte Bobcats- James Young (Guard- Kentucky)
Why the Pick: James Young can flat out get buckets, and if he didn’t play for the Kentucky Wildcats, he would surely be averaging over 14.4 ppg. He has elite size for a two guard, standing at 6’6 with a 6’11 wingspan, meaning he will be able to get up shots on the NBA level. He needs to work on his defense but the size and instincts to become a solid perimeter defender are there, evident by his five steals in his last five games.
How he fits: Every team needs at least two scorers who can create for themselves and there is no doubt that Young would be able to fit this role in Charlotte. If he learns from the best player in the history of the game in MJ, James Young could have an advantage over the other prospects listed above him. It wouldn’t surprise me if Young became a 20+ scorer in due time.
12.) Orlando Magic (Pick from Nuggets)- Noah Vonleh (Forward- Indiana)
Why the Pick: Noah Vonleh came into Indiana as the next must-see player in Hoosier basketball and he has lived up to the hype. He averages 11.4 ppg and 9.1 all while shooting over 50% from the field. He has a nice inside-out type game and can shoot from 3, despite his hesitancy to do so. Vonleh also has a solid power forward sized body, standing 6’10 240 lbs, which means he should be able to play against the elite power forwards in NBA.
How he fits: Now that “Big Baby Davis” is gone, the Magic could use help at the power forward position. Vonleh would be given time to develop as a scorer as he could leave the scoring to Jabari (see above). There is no doubt that Vonleh can rebound and with his evolving offensive game, he could develop into a solid starter and maybe make an all-star team or two.
Why the Pick: Doug “McBuckets” McDermott is probably the safest NBA prospect as he will always be able to score the basketball. With over 3,000 points in his Creighton career, Doug is currently 7th on the list of all time college scorers. He has a bevy of offensive moves as he can use his big body in the post and can shoot from outside, with a 3pt shooting percentage of 45%. The NBA has a propensity to draft players with potential, and there is no doubt that McDermott deserves a lottery selection.
How he fits: In the caption I said that McDermott could be the perfect fit should Kevin Love leave the Wolves. This is not saying that McDermott will be the next Kevin Love, rather McDermott has a similar playing style as a stretch 4 that can shoot the three. McDermott could learn the game sitting behind Love and should Love leave during free-agency, McDermott could step in and contribute.
14.) Memphis Grizzlies- Jerami Grant (Forward-Syracuse)
Why the Pick: Jerami Grant is a NBA-ready athlete that uses his athleticism to beat opposing wings at the college level. Grant can shoot from the midrange but needs to work on his 3-point shot, which is essential for a small forward. He can defend using his 7’2 wingspan and knows defensive rotations as he leads from the back line of Syracuse’s famed 2-3 zone.
How he fits: Sure the Grizz could use some more perimeter oriented offense to combine with Z-Bo and Marc Gasol, but Grant has too much potential to pass up. As his offensive game evolves, Grant could become a 15 ppg player who provides tough defense to guard the opposing team’s best wing player. As Tony Allen primarily defends smaller and quicker point guards, Grant could lock down forwards, making for a dynamic defensive duo.
15.) Atlanta Hawks- Tyler Ennis (Guard-Syracuse)
Why the Pick: Tyler Ennis is a killer, he is calm under pressure (this has been said a billion times) and has led Syracuse to a 27-4 record this year and possibly a number one seed should the Orange win the ACC title. Ennis serves as a pass first point guard, looking for others to score then taking his own shots. Averaging 5.5 assists per game along with only 1.7 turnovers a game, he is showing why he is a lead candidate for the Bob Cousy award. He is not an elite athlete and with so many explosive players at the point guard position, the questions remains whether Ennis can handle the faster guards.
How he fits: The Hawks don’t need a point guard seeing as they drafted Dennis Schroder last year and just signed Jeff Teague to an extension, there is always room for improvement and I believe Ennis is a significant upgrade. Teague’s contract is relatively friendly with only $24 million owed for the next three years, making it a movable piece for the Hawks. If Ennis could be paired with Paul Milsap and a healthy Al Horford, the Hawks could be in business. The problem is if Ennis has a spectacular tournament, his stock will rise and will probably be off the board before the Hawks have a chance to get him. Ennis is a good bet to be the player picked later in the draft that turns out to be a top-5 player in the class.
16.) Chicago Bulls- (Pick from Charlotte) TJ Warren (Forward-North Carolina State)
Why the Pick: TJ Warren is a “bucket getter” averaging 24.7 points per game while shooting 53 percent from the field. He took a tremendous leap from his freshmen year where he only averaged 12 ppg and now he is the ACC Player of the Year. Warren does have his pitfalls as he doesn’t have the athleticism of an ideal NBA wing player and is really more a scorer.
How he fits: Warren fits perfectly, the Bulls need instant offense and a shot creator to come off the bench. Under Tom Thibodeau’s defensive system, Warren’s defensive weaknesses can be covered, allowing him to flourish on the offensive side of the ball. Warren would also work well with Derrick Rose as he can come off screens and spot up and shoot. The Bulls should be drooling if Warren falls to them at this spot.
17.) Boston Celtics (Trade from Brooklyn Nets)- Kyle Anderson (Guard-Forward UCLA)
Why the Pick: Kyle Anderson aka “Slow-mo” is as advertised, slow yet patient, never allowing an opponent to change his pace. Anderson improved from his freshmen year, his scoring went from 9.7 ppg to 15ppg, his assist from 3.5 to 6.6 and his field goal percentage from 41 percent up to 48 percent. He does have some turnover issues at 3.5 per game but UCLA runs a fast pace offense under Steve Alford averaging 72.7 possessions per game, making the turnover numbers greater. Anderson also possesses terrific size, standing at 6’9 he is bigger than all NBA point guards, making for a better view of the court, a plus for teams looking for point guards.
How he fits: Rajon Rondo looks to be on the outs as Danny Ainge tried to trade him at the trade deadline and there have been reports that Rondo is not happy with Boston’s plan to rebuild. Kyle Anderson would fit well, probably earning the starting point guard spot should Rondo leave. With the recent success of Michael Carter-Williams, Anderson might be a prime target for teams looking for a bigger guard. Anderson, like Ennis, could rise if he impresses during tournament time.
Why the Pick: As the NBA draft gets down towards the late-teens, teams look for situational-role players. Harrell fits the mold of a solid big defender who can guard in the post. A bit small at 6’8, Harrell has a massive 7’4 wingspan that should serve him well going up against the likes of Kevin Love, LaMarcus Aldridge, Blake Griffin, and all the other potent bigs in the Western conference. Harrell has a limited post-up game that needs significant improvement, but that is not his calling card as Harrell uses his athleticism to create easy layups and dunks.
How he fits: With a guard oriented team like the Suns, Harrell won’t have to worry about scoring a prolific rate in order to be effective. The Suns are in desperate need of a lock-down post defender and in time, I believe Harrell could become just that. Combined with Eric Bledsoe and Goran Dragic, Harrell could feast off of lobs from the two-point guard system. Harrell should be a quality NBA player for the Suns and could be an elite defender.
19.) Chicago Bulls- Nik Stauskas- (Guard-Michigan)
Why the Pick: Nik Stauskas is a shooting machine who can light it up from 3-point land, averaging 2.4 3pt baskets per game while shooting a tremendous 45 percent. He also can shoot off the dribble, making him even more of an outside threat. Stauskas has good shooting guard size at 6’6 but he needs to improve his defense given his size. Stauskas reminds me of Klay Thompson without the defensive instincts.
How he fits: Kyle Korver. Mike Dunleavy Jr. Both have had success in Tom Thibodeau’s system and I believe Stauskas could play the younger and more athletic role of both of these aforementioned players. Combined with TJ Warren, the Bulls could have a lethal scoring duo from the bench. There is a possibility that the Bulls maybe trade the two picks for a higher selection so the Bulls might not be able to get both players.
20.) Toronto Raptors- CJ Fair (Forward-Syracuse)
Why the Pick: CJ Fair is a talented senior who has improved every year he has been at Syracuse going from a 6 point scorer freshmen year to a 17 point scorer this season. He has a tremendous midrange game and can even shoot the occasional 3 point shot. He is also a solid defender who has good lateral quickness but lacks power forward size. Although Fair doesn’t have size, the league is changing and stretch fours are becoming more and more popular, making Fair an attractive candidate to teams who need more shooting.
How he fits: Massai Ujiri came to Toronto because he saw the promise of DeMar DeRozan and Jonas Valanciunas and viewed them both as franchise players. DeMar has clearly taken that step with the departure of Rudy Gay and now Jonas needs to take the same step. The problem is Amir Johnson primarily plays in the post, clogging up room for Jonas to operate. With CJ Fair, the Raptors could give Jonas more room in the post and have CJ as a potential 15 foot jump shooter.
21.) Oklahoma City Thunder- Adreian Payne (Forward-Michigan State)
Why the Pick: Adreian Payne is the cornerstone of the Michigan State program and is obviously the leader on the court and in the locker room. Add Payne to an already very positive and vocal locker room, and the chemistry is enhanced. On the court, Payne can stretch the floor and can play some defense against bigs but he needs to be more focused on both sides of the floor.
How he fits: Payne could be the heir apparent to the wily veteran Nick Collison and would likely serve a limited reserve roll for the Thunder. The Thunder have a nature of rotating rookies in and out of the D-League and then give them a bigger role in their sophomore campaign. If Payne fits the system he will probably ride the pine for his first year, yet emerge as a talented back-up later on.
Why the Pick: PJ Hairston minus his recent off the court trouble could have been a lottery pick, and maybe a possible POY candidate in the ACC. Make no mistake Hairston is talented, equipped with an effective outside game and NBA-type size, he is in perfect position to play the two-guard. In the D-league, defense is poor and some of Hairston’s stats are inflated but he is still showing why he was the best player on North Carolina last year.
How he fits: Gerald Green has found himself a nice niche in Phoenix, but his contract expires after next year and he could look to take a more lucrative offer elsewhere, leaving room for Hairston. Hairston most likely will rotate between the D-League and the NBA during his rookie year, but he could be a significant piece in his sophomore year.
23.) Utah Jazz- Chris Walker (Forward- Florida)
Why the Pick: Chris Walker was one of the best high school players in the nation last year, but he sat out the beginning of this year with academic issues. Walker is extremely athletic on both sides of court and can change the course of the game with his mere presence. Though talented, Walker is raw and his mid-range game needs significant work and development.
How he fits: Utah has one of the youngest teams in the NBA and they are clearly in rebuilding mode, so Walker would probably have the opportunity to make an impact his first year. Walker would probably back-up Derrick Favors but given playing time he could force himself into the starting lineup. Walker has tremendous talent and even reminds me of a rawer version of Amar’e Stoudemire.
24.) Charlotte Bobcats- Willie Cauley-Stein (Center-Kentucky)
Why the Pick: Willie Cauley-Stein is a prolific defender, who might just be a better shot-blocker than Anthony Davis but his offense is a work in progress. He is also extremely athletic, which helps him dominate in the paint. If Cauley-Stein can improve the post-game he could be a quality NBA center.
How he fits: Charlotte would be a tremendous fit for Cauley-Stein, as he could play next to Al Jefferson and primarily focus on the defensive side of the floor. The Bobcats are a nice, young team and Cauley-Stein would be another good addition.
25.) Los Angeles Clippers- Wayne Selden (Guard-Kansas)
Why the Pick: Wayne Selden has one of the most NBA-ready bodies, standing at 6’5 230lbs with a knack for getting to the rim, he could vault up draft boards with a strong NCAA tournament. Selden is also improving his outside game, a necessity if a player wants to survive as a two-guard in the NBA. His defense could improve as well as his shot selection but Selden is a solid prospect with nice upside.
How he fits: The Clippers tried to bring in two shooters in JJ Redick and Jared Dudley in the offseason and both have disappointed. Jamal Crawford is getting older and the Clippers could use another young, talented player like Selden to bolster their bench and possibly start alongside CP3.
26.) Houston Rockets- Glenn Robinson III (Forward-Michigan)
Why the Pick: Glenn Robinson III (son of “Big Dog” Robinson) has all the talent to be an NBA player, he has great size and tremendous athleticism and can shoot, but it doesn’t seem like he can put it together all at the same time. He is consistently inconsistent, which is infuriating to watch because he is such a talent. GR3 could be another player who could help his draft stock with a big NCAA tournament.
How he fits: Chandler Parsons is going to be a free agent after next summer and being a second round-pick he is probably going to cash in big time. There are rumors that the Rockets could target Carmelo Anthony during the offseason, leaving the Rockets with little to no cap room for Parsons, so this makes GR3 an ideal fit, seeing as he has the potential to be another Chandler Parsons as he can shoot it and can play defense.
27.) San Antonio Spurs- Clint Capela (Forward-Switzerland)
Why the Pick: Many have compared him to a young Serge Ibaka, a prolific defender with great size who needs to learn how to play the game in an NBA system. Granted, my access to Capela is limited but from the scouting tape he looks like an NBA player who could contribute as a back-up defender on a contending team.
How he fits: The Spurs are nearing the end of their run, yet Coach Pop always has a tendency to develop the unknown player and turn them into a contributor. With Capela, Pop would have a nice interior defender who can run the floor and provide solid minutes when Duncan or Splitter is out.
28.) Miami Heat- Mario Hezonja (Guard-Croatia)
Why the Pick: Hezonja is another prospect who I have to use film to watch, when I did watch his tapes I saw a player who has tremendous range and good size at 6’7 to play either the 2 or the 3. He needs to improve on the defensive end if he wants to be a solid player in the NBA, but the talent is there.
How he fits: Hezonja will most likely be a Euro-stash pick who would stay in Spain and play more and then receive a buy-out in a couple of years. With the Heat wanting to re-sign the big 3, Hezonja will likely be coaxed into staying the Spain for a couple of years until the Heat figure out their cap situation.
29.) Oklahoma City Thunder- Jahii Carson (Guard-Arizona State)
Why the Pick: Jahii Carson is small, but he has a bulldog mentality, constantly attacking the rim, regardless of the size of his defender. He also is a willing passer, evident by his 4.5 assists per game. Defending bigger point guards is going to be a problem but his elite quickness should help some.
How he fits: I have no idea why Derek Fisher is still getting minutes in an NBA game, but Carson could put an end to this foolishness if he were drafted by the Thunder. Frankly, the Thunder need another ball when Reggie Jackson is on the floor and Carson would be serviceable.
30.) Phoenix Suns- Semaj Christon (Guard-Xavier)
Why the Pick: Semaj Christon is one of the most underrated players in college basketball, as he can play the 1 and the 2 for the Musketeers. He is a terrific ball-handler and is capable of scoring for himself while also working inside the flow of the offense. His size is a question mark as he only weighs 190 lbs. He can shoot from deep, but he is still a work in progress.
How he fits: Jeff Hornacek has done a tremendous job with the Phoenix guards, Eric Bledsoe and Goran Dragic and rookie Archie Goodwin has shown promise and Christon could be the same way. The fast pace at which Phoenix plays fits right in with Christon and he could be a nice back-up for Bledose and Dragic.
Conclusion: This draft is a pivotal piece for the growth of teams and with so many teams trying to “tank”, the emphasis on this draft is highlighted even more. The hype has been a bit overstated as it was compared to the legendary ’84 and 03′ drafts, but make no mistake, this draft has extraordinary potential.
The shooting guard position is the worst position in the NBA. The shooting guard position has three players who are head and shoulders above everyone else, Harden, Bryant, and Wade. Besides for Harden, the shooting guard position is fairly old and most of the players are on the downside of their careers.
1. Kobe Bryant – Los Angeles Lakers
The future Hall of Famer and one of the best scorers of all-time is still one of the best players in the league at the age of 34. Although Kobe has played over 45,000 minutes in the NBA, he is a dynamic player who can score against any defender in the league. Although he is coming back from a torn Achilles, Bryant deserves to be the best player on the list because of his past history and success last year. Although Harden had a break out year, his stats were still worst than Kobe’s stats. Last year, Bryant averaged 27.3 points, 5.6 rebounds, and 6.0 assists per game while playing the second most minutes per game in the league. Bryant led SG in points, assists, rebounds, double doubles, and triple doubles. During his career, Kobe scored the fourth most points during his career while winning the MVP once and the scoring title twice. Along with having great individual statistics and accomplishments, he is considered one of the best players of all time because he is a winner and a true warrior. Bryant has been a major part of five championship winning teams, while winning two Finals MVP. Bryant is the fiercest competitor since Jordan. Kobe has showed that he is willing to play through any amount of pain in order to help his team win games.
2. James Harden – Houston Rockets
The 23 year old Rockets shooting guard has become one of best players in the league because of the opportunity he was given. As Harden continues to grow as a player and become a bigger star in the league the trade that sent him to Houston will look even worse. (Background: Harden was traded to the Rockets for J Lamb, Steven Adams, a first round pick, kevin martin who left via free agency. The OKC Thunder decided to save money so they signed Serge Ibaka instead of Harden last season to an extension. The Thunder could have won a championship however they now look like they cannot win without a third star.) Harden had a great breakout season for the Houston Rockets. Harden is an all around great player because he can score and assist his teammates. James averaged 26 points, 5 rebounds, and 6 assists per game. James is an absolute stud, who knows how to close a game and win tight games. Harden has transformed the Rockets from a perennial loser to a team that has the chance to winning the championship.
3. Dwayne Wade – Miami Heat
Dwayne Wade is the last of the three great shooting guards in the NBA. When healthy, Wade is one of the best players in the league because he is one of the best slashers of all time. Wade relentlessly attacks the basket because he is extremely athletic and is great at finishing around the basket. However, Wade’s relentless will causes him to injure himself since he is not a big player. Although Dwayne is no longer a top five or ten player in the league, he still compiled great stats last season, 21.2 points, 5.0 rebounds, and 5.1 assists. Wade will continue to be a great player in the league best he works extraordinarily hard to improve his game. If Wade can improve his jump shot, he will continue to be a 20+ point scorer for the next five years because he will not have to attack the basket and injure himself. Like Bryant, Wade is a warrior and a Finals MVP. Wade is one of the first players I would choose if I needed to play one game because he is fearless and always steps up to the challenge.
4. Andre Iguodala – Golden State Warriors
The veteran shooting guard is one of the most versatile players in the NBA. Iguodala is an extremely talented and athletic player that can play offense and defense at a high level. Although Iggy’s 13.4 points per game is not very impressive, he does not shoot very often because he is more focused on playing defense and helping his teammates. Along with his 13.4 points per game, Andre averaged 5.3 rebounds, 5.4 assists, and 1.7 steals per game. Iguodala showed that he can score points during the postseason when his team needed him to score. During the postseason, Iggy averaged 18.0 points per game while maintaining his other statistics. Iguodala was able to turn his great talents into a massive deal with the Golden State Warriors. Although Iggy does not have the talent like a Wade, Harden, and Bryant, he is a top five shooting guard because he tries really hard and the shooting guard position is not very deep.
5. Klay Thompson – Golden State Warriors
The 23 year old sharp shooter is one of the best shooters in the league. As one of the ‘Splash Bros’, Thompson shoots and converts threes at a ridiculous rate. Although Thompson shoots a lot of threes, he is not solely a three point shooter like other shooting guards in the NBA. Klay showed his diverse skill set during the postseason, which gave him confidence and improved his popularity. Klay has a lot of potential and will be a future star along with Curry and Iggy. Klay Thompson will take a big leap next season if he continues to play with confidence and shoot. If Thompson can take a big step forward this season, the Dubs will be a serious title contender because they have at least six solid players. Since Klay has the potential to be a star in the future, I put him ahead of other shooting guards that have similar skill and numbers.
6. JR Smith – New York Knicks
The 2013 NBA Sixth Man of the Year had a great season for the New York Knicks. JR Smith is one of the most skilled and exciting players in the whole NBA. However, he is not the most consistent player in the league, which significantly hurts his value as a player. One night Smith can score 30 points and look like a star. However, the next night he can look like an absolute scrub who shoots way too much and makes stupid mistakes. Still, Smith is a player that almost every team would love to come off of the bench and provide energy to the team. Last year, Smith averaged a career high in points, 18.1, rebounds, 5.3, and minutes, 33.5, per game during his breakout season. Along with having the ability to score a lot of points, Smith can play solid defense against many different players because he is strong and big. Smith can be a solid and useful piece to a championship team if he can stay focused and is used correctly off of the bench.
7. DeMar DeRozan – Toronto Raptors
The 23 year old shooting guard had a breakout year for the Toronto Raptors. Like other shooting guards, DeRozan is a good scorer, but is not great at other aspects of the game. Last season, DeRozan had a solid year averaging 18.1 points, 3.9 rebounds, 2.5 assists, and 1.0 steals per game. Although DeRozan has not played a lot on national television, he is a talented player who can score frequently against an defender. I expect DeMar to grow as a player because he will be given the ball a lot and will not be pressured to win because the Raptors are in rebuilding mode. The Raptors will let DeRozan grow as a player this season so that he can be a future star in the league. In the future, DeMar should be a consistent 20 point scorer in the league. DeRozan is one of the few young shooting guards who will be a borderline star in the future because he is a good scorer in the NBA.
8. Joe Johnson – Brooklyn Nets
The veteran shooting guard has been one of the best shooting guard in the league over the last decade. Although Joe has been one of the most consistent and dominant scorers over the last ten years, Joe is on the down side of his career. Last year, Johnson scored on 16.3 points per game while shooting 42.3% from the field, both stats are the worst since his second year in the league. Johnson had a horrible year because he was adjusting to a new offense and he was injured for most of the season with a nagging foot injury. Although Joe will never score like his days with Atlanta, Joe can be a top ten shooting guard because he can score and play defense. If Johnson becomes a more efficient scorer and can learn how to become more of a spot up shooter, Johnson can score close to 20 or 19 points again. Although he is old, he still posted a positive defensive win share because he is tall and an intelligent player. Even though Johnson may not have the endurance to be successful for a whole game, he showed that he can be clutch when the game is on the line and the Nets need a bucket to win or tie. Most of the shooting guards on this list do not have the pedigree or past success as Johnson.
9. Jimmy Butler – Chicago Bulls
The young, athletic shooting guard for the Chicago Bulls should have a long and successful career for the Chicago Bulls. Although Jimmy Butler does not have the track record like other shooting guards, Butler might have the most potential among the young shooting guards besides for Harden. Jimmy has already distinguished himself as one of the best back court defenders in the league because he is strong, long, and quick. During the regular season last year, Butler did not have a good statistical year, 8.6 points, 4.0 rebounds, and 1.4 assists. However, Butler exploded in the postseason because he was given more minutes and opportunities. During the postseason, Jimmy averaged 40.8 minutes, 13.3 points, 5.2 rebounds, 2.7 assists, and 1.3 steals per game. Butler was an absolute bull dog and warrior during his series against the Miami Heat. Besides for averaging 16 points, 6 rebounds, and chasing around the league’s best player, Lebron James, Jimmy Butler played the full 48 minutes three times during the 5 game series while only resting for a combined 19 minutes. Over the next 5-6 years, Butler has the chance to turn into one of the top five shooting guards in the league because of his talent and determination.
10. OJ Mayo – Milwaukee Bucks
The newest addition to the Bucks will have the chance to be the primary option on offense for the Bucks. During his lone year with the Dallas Mavericks, OJ showed that he could score a lot of points when given the opportunity to shoot and control the ball. Since coming out of USC five years ago, scouts have raved about his potential as a scorer because he is skilled and has good physical attributes. After posting two solid season during his first two years in the league, Mayo stats significantly dropped the following two years. However, last year Mayo saw an increase in points, FG percentage, 3 point percentage, rebounds, assists, and minutes. During the first quarter of the season, Mayo was averaging close to 20 points per game because he was the catalyst of the Maverick’s offense while Dirk was injured. However, his dropped when he was not the star of the offense and he finished at around 16 points per game. Next year, Mayo will be given the most shots on a bad Bucks team so I expect a lot of point and other statistical increases during his first year in Milwaukee.
pics and stats from espn.com and basketball reference.com