Tag Archives: Chris Archer

2014 AL East Preview

By: Jon

The AL East is definitively the best division in baseball since they have the current champions, the Red Sox, Yankees, Rays, Orioles, and Blue Jays. The East has a legitimate threat of possessing three of the five playoff teams in the AL. Besides the Blue Jays, who still have a possibility of finishing over .500, the other four teams have a great chance of winning the division.

 

1) New York Yankees

The Yankees want to win one more before the Captain retires
The Yankees want to win one more before the Captain retires

The Yankees regained the title as the most expensive team in baseball after they spent nearly $500 million on free agents this offseason. The Yankees will be starting a completely new club from last season as only one player, Brett Gardner, will be starting Opening Day this and last season. The Yankees have a lot of talent, but they have many questions that may lead to their demise. Although the Yankees outfield should be the catalyst of team with Carlos Beltran, Brett Gardner, Alfonso Soriano, and Jacoby Ellsbury, the infield has many questions because the players, Kelly Johnson, Derek Jeter, Brian Roberts, and Mark Teixeira, are all coming off  injury and have questions about their age. If the Yankees stay healthy, they should be one of the best teams in baseball and will contend for a championship.

On offense, the Yankees have speed, power, and high batting averages. The middle of the order, McCann, Tex, Soriano, and Beltran, should record a good deal of RBIs since they will have many opportunities to drive in runs. Jacoby Ellsbury, Derek Jeter, and Brett Garnder have shown that they have the ability to get on base, steal bases, and score runs at a very high level. In terms of defense, the team should be one of the best in the league, especially in the outfield. Jacoby and Brett are two of the fastest outfielders in the league and should be able to easily cover every ball in the outfield. Although he is old, Beltran is an above average outfielder with a great arm and instincts. On the infield, the return of Tex will be great since he is a premier fielder and prevents errors with his ability to scoop throws. Although Jeter or Roberts do not have great range, they are steady players and will not make many errors in the field.

On the pitching staff, the Yanks have some questions as well. If Tanaka, Nova, and Pineda can continue their success from Spring Training, the team will have a great pitching staff with each player has a lot of talent. Although CC Sabathia and Hiroki Kuroda have experienced poor spring trainings and did not have a good finish to last season, the Yankees need them to return to their old form. The Yankees have a few quality options, Vidal Nuno, Adam Warren, and David Phelps, if injuries hamper their starting five. Unlike past seasons, the Yanks are not expected to have a good bullpen. The Yanks must answer a few questions if they are going win games with their bullpen like they have in the past. The Yankees need to replace the greatest closer of all time, Mariano Rivera, an eighth inning pitcher to replace David Robertson, and a lefty specialist to replace Boone Logan. If the Yankees’ starters fail to get injured, they can use their extra starting pitchers or prospects to man the positions. Although the Yankees have many questions, they have a lot of talent and expectations that their fans hope they can meet this season.

Predicted Yankees Record: 95-67

2) Boston Red Sox

The Sox are hoping to repeat this season
The Sox are hoping to repeat this season

The Red Sox are the defending champion and many believe that they have a great chance of winning the division and repeating as champions. The Red Sox are currently ranked second on this list because they lost a few good players to free agency that must be replaced. The biggest loss the Red Sox endured was Jacoby Ellsbury, who went to the hated New York Yankees for $153 million. Although Jacoby was occassionally injured, he was a great table setter for the Red Sox and was a lock for at least 90 runs a season. The Red Sox are hoping that Jackie Bradley Jr will be able to succeed at the major league level, although he was unable to hit in the majors at the start of last season. Bradley, although an above average defender, will not be able to replace Ellsbury’s defense because he does not have the speed. At shortstop, the Red Sox will have to replace the production from Stephen Drew. Drew was a solid option for the Red Sox because he was a good defensive player and could hit well for a shortstop. The Red Sox hope that top prospect Xander Bogearts will be able to turn his potential into production and replace the void left by Drew. Xander got his first taste of major league experience last season in the playoffs and regular season.

Besides those losses, the Red Sox kept the same team as last year. On offense, the Red Sox have a lot of good sluggers, Ortiz, Pedroia, and Napoli, and other quality hitters, which gives them a balanced offensive attack. The Red Sox have at least five or six players that can hit over .300 this season. Last season, they had three players hit over .300 and five that hit over .294. Like last season, they should rank as one of the best run scoring teams in the league.

In terms of pitching, the Red Sox have a deep rotation even though they do not possess a dominant ace. The combination of Jake Peavy, John Lackey, Jon Lester, Felix Doubront, and Clay Buchholz should give the Red Sox an above average staff as long as they do not have to deal with injuries. If the Red Sox do face injuries, they may have serious issues because they do not have many long men/spot starters on their roster. The Red Sox have a very good farm system with good pitching prospects, but it is unknown if they want to hurry these prospects to the bigs. In the bullpen, the Red Sox have one of the best in the league. If Uehara can give the Red Sox similar numbers to last season, they will be in great shape because they have solid lefties and power arms out of the bullpen. The Red Sox should be a 90 win team and compete with the Yankees and other AL East teams for the division and the Pennant.

Predicted Red Sox Record: 94-68

3) Tampa Bay Rays

The pitching could lead the Rays to the playoff
The pitching could lead the Rays to the playoffs

The Rays have been steady winners over the last five seasons. Before their nice run, the Rays were one of the worst teams in baseball and never made the playoffs. Previously, they would always receive high picks in the draft, which enabled them to build a core and achieve success. Although the Rays have lost stars over the past few seasons, they have a deep farm system to replace their stars with stud prospects.

Although the Rays normally win with their pitching and defense, the Rays offense has improved drastically and should be a strength this season. The middle of the order will be led by Evan Longoria, Wil Myers, James Loney, and Matt Joyce. These power hitters should easily be able to drive in a lot of runs since Ben Zobrist, Desmond Jennings, and possibly star shortstop prospect, Lee, are all good table setters and have the ability to reach base. The Rays should continue playing great defense because Longoria, Myers, Escobar, Loney, and Desmond are excellent defenders and do not commit many errors.

Although the offense is improving, the pitching is the best part of the team. The staff is led by former AL Cy Young Award winner David Price. Along with Price, the Rays have Matt Moore, Alex Cobb, Jeremy Hellickson, Chris Archer, and possibly Jake Odorizzi. Besides Hellickson, each starter had an ERA below 3.50. The Rays’ pitching staff should continue stopping opposing offenses and lead the Rays to the playoff as long as Price stays in the rotation. Since Price has achieved a lot of success, the Rays are looking to trade him since it is unlikely they will be able to re-sign him next offseason. Although the Rays would receive a King’s Ransom for Price, the players will not be able to immediately help the Rays, if they trade him at the trade deadline. Like many prior seasons, the Rays’ bullpen is different from last season and has many questions. The Rays have signed a few relievers that are coming off bad seasons and were able to sign them at a bargain. The Rays will rely heavily on Grant Balfour, Heath Bell, Joel Peralta, and lefty flamethrower Jake McGee. Each reliever has experienced success in the past and the Rays hope they can catch lightning in a bottle once again.

The Rays were able to win 92 games last season despite them starting slowly because of poor pitching. However, this season, the pitching should not let the Rays down at the start of the season and should enable them to win over 90 games again this season. The AL East should have a great fight at the top since each of the three aforementioned teams has the ability to win 95 games. The Rays do not have as much depth or offensive talent as the Red Sox and Yanks, so it is unlikely they will beat them during the regular season.

Predicted Rays Record: 92-70

4) Baltimore Orioles

The O's need Crush Davis to have another great season in order to succeed
The O’s need Crush Davis to have another great season in order to succeed

Unlike previous seasons, the Orioles spent a lot of money this offseason to improve their team. Last season, the Orioles won 85 games, but still finished 6.5 games out of the wild card race. The Orioles possessed one of the best and most explosive lineups in the league a season ago. The Orioles are led by the middle of their order, which includes stars Adam Jones, Chris Davis, Matt Wieters, and JJ Hardy. Although the lineup was already deep, they signed power hitting outfielder, Nelson Cruz, to a one year deal. Also, the Orioles will be returning Manny Machado from a serious knee injury, which will bolster the squad. In terms of defense, the Orioles have a solid defense because Jones, Hardy, Wieters, and Machado are great fielders and man the most important defensive positions.

Although the Orioles’ offense and defense is very good, the pitching could pose problems for the Orioles as they attempt to make the playoffs. The Orioles signed Ubaldo Jimenez this offseason and are hoping that he returns to his Rockies’ second half form. The Orioles do not have an ace, but have multiple quality pitchers. The Orioles’ staff, Jimenez, Tillman, Norris, Gausman, and Chen, is deep and should be able to win games against the back of opposing teams’ staff. If the Orioles do experience injuries, they have multiple options that will allow them to continue winning. In the bullpen, the Orioles have multiple weapons that can throw hard and strike out opposing hitters late in games. Although the O’s dumped former closer Jim Johnson, they will be replacing him with Tommy Hunter. Hunter throws extremely hard and has been able to pitch well over the past few seasons as an eighth inning pitcher. Along with hard throwing from the right side, Brian Matusz is a lefty specialist that pitches in the mid to high nineties and has improved over the past few seasons.

Although the Orioles improved their team this offseason, the other teams in this division have improved as well, so it is unlikely they will noticeably improve their win total from last season.

Predicted Orioles Record: 85-77

5) Toronto Blue Jays

The Jays hope they can avoid the East cellar
The Jays hope they can avoid the East cellar

The Blue Jays entered last season as one of the best teams on paper and many thought they would be one of the best teams in the league. However, the Jays did not meet expectations as they suffered many injuries and their players did not play to previous standards.

Like the other American League East teams, the Blue Jays have a threatening lineup. On the infield, the Blue Jays have Jose Reyes, Edwin Encarnacion, Brett Lawrie, and Maicer Izturius. In the outfield, the Blue Jays will be led by Jose Bautista, Melky Cabrera, and Colby Rasmus. The Blue Jays have one of the best 3-4 hitting duos in the league because Bautista is one of the best power hitters and Encaracion has turned into one of the better hitters after a sluggish start to his career. At the top of the order, the Blue Jays will have Reyes and Cabrera at the one-two positions as they both have great speed and the ability to reach base at a very high percentage. If the duo can stay healthy, they will score a lot of runs and help the Blue Jays score runs because Bautista and Encarnacion should both be able to record at least 100 RBIs. Although the Jays have the potential for a great offense, their defense does not have the same ability.

In terms of pitching, the Blue Jays have many questions in their rotation, which negatively separates them from the rest of the teams. Although the Blue Jays gave up two very good prospects to the Mets, they did not receive great production from RA Dickey last season. Although Dickey should be able to achieve more success this season because he is now healthy, it is unknown if he can return to his Cy Young form. After Dickey, the Jays have Brandon Marrow, Mark Buehrle, JA Happ, and Esmil Rogers in the rotation. Mark Buehrle and Esmil Rogers are steady pitchers and should provide the Blue Jays with consistent quality outings. Although Marrow and Happ have great talent and have shown they can produce at the major league level, they are consistently injured and cannot pitch at their full potential. If the duo can remain healthy, the Blue Jays can compete in the East and win about 85 to 90 games.

Although the Jays may have the worst starting rotation in the division, it is likely they have the best bullpen. The back of the Jays bullpen is very solid with Sergio Santos as the closer and Steve Delbar and Brett Cecil as the set up men. Last year, Cecil and Delbar had great seasons and made the All-Star team. If the Jays can maintain a lead into the 7th inning, they will have a great chance of winning games and competing for the last Wild Card spot. Unless the Jays have a few surprises in the rotation, it is unlikely they will win more than 80 games in the difficult AL East.

Predicted Blue Jays Record: 78-84

 

Pics and stats from ESPN.com

Baseball’s Exciting Wild Card Race

By: Josh

Nate McLouth Courtesy of The Washington Post
Nate McLouth
Courtesy of The Washington Post

The wild card race has been very close this year, and the recent addition of a second wild card has made it even closer.  Oakland has hung onto the first wild card spot despite Bartolo Colon’s trip to the 15-day DL.  The Rays currently hold the second wild card spot but have the Bombers, Indians, and O’s at their heals.  It is going to be an excellent last push as many teams still have a chance to make the playoffs.

David Price Courtesy of The Washington Post
David Price
Courtesy of The Washington Post

The strongest wild card contender this year is the Tampa Bay Rays.  I project Boston to win the East, leaving the first wild card for the Rays.  They have established one of the elite pitching rotations in the major leagues led by their ace David Price, star rookie Chris Archer, and crafty Alex Cobb.  These three have allowed the team to post the lowest WHIP in the American League.  In addition to their archetypal pitching, they have a team average OPS of .742, fifth highest in the league.  With outstanding pitching and hitting, the Rays are destined to seize the first wild card spot.

Oakland Celebrating Courtesy of San Francisco Chronicle
Oakland Celebrating
Courtesy of San Francisco Chronicle

Oakland will take the second spot in the AL Wild Card race.  Once again, Billy Beane has assembled an extraordinary squad with the fourth lowest payroll in the MLB, higher only than the Marlins, Rays, and Astros.  The pitching staff, led by Colon and Parker, has allowed the A’s to be a serious contender.  Offensively, Moss, Donaldson, and Cespedes have added enough pop to the lineup to put Oakland over the top.  The only reason I did not rank the A’s above the Rays is the team’s offense, which is still above the league average in many categories including OPS and walks.  It is just not on par with Tampa Bay’s offense.

Neither the Yankees nor the Orioles will make the playoffs this year.  Yankees pitching has been too inconsistent with poor performances from CC Sabathia and Phil Hughes, despite good offense from Robinson Cano and Alfonso Soriano.  Baltimore’s pitching will also not suffice.  The team is below the league average in ERA and WHIP.  Their outstanding offense, centered around MVP candidate Chris Davis, is the only reason they are still in the playoff hunt.  Cleveland will also miss the playoffs due to their lackluster pitching.  Although both teams have shown tremendous upside, they will not be able to catch Oakland or Tampa Bay.

MLB Bold Predictions and Awards for the Second Half of the Season

By: Jon

Miguel Cabrera WILL win his second straight Triple Crown Award.

Cabrera is currently first in two of the 3 legs of the Triple Crown, RBI and Average. Cabrera is far and away leading the American League in average, .365 vs .322. Cabrera could go hitless over the next 45 at bats and still be leading the AL in hitting. Cabrera’s RBI is a lot thinner than his lead in average. Cabrera is leading Davis by only 2 RBI while hitting 7 less home runs than Chris Davis. During Cabrera’s Triple Crown season, Cabrera exploded during the second half of the season, although he had less games. Cabrera should experience the same effect because the air is warming and the pitchers are tiring. Usually, pitchers are unable to maintain their strength and stuff as the season wears on while the warming air allows the ball to travel farther. Cabrera will be given more RBI opportunities because Jackson and Hunter constantly reach base. Pitchers will be unable to pitch around Cabrera because Fielder and Martinez have the ability to hurt pitchers and drive in runs. Although Cabrera hit 7 less home runs than Davis in the first half, Cabrera has been a great home run hitter during the second half of the season. Last year, Cabrera hit 8 more home runs in the second half although he played at least 20 less games. Cabrera should be able to catch Davis because he has slowed down as of late. Before his recent home run outburst, Davis’s average significantly dipped. This decrease in average is a premonition for a decrease in home runs and RBI. Davis’s decreased numbers in  the second half will lead to Cabrera taking the Triple Crown and some else (continue reading).

Manny Machado WILL break the record for most doubles in a season

The 20 year old third baseman is in his first full MLB season and already breaking a record that has stood for 72 years. In 1931, Earl Webb hit 67 doubles for the Boston Red Sox. Although Machado is not on pace to break the record, 66 doubles, Manny has great chance of breaking the record. Machado has a great chance because he is skilled, in a great lineup, and hits in a friendly park. Camden Yards’ friendly confines enable him to slap balls against the walls. Machado is a line drive hitter, which allows him to find the gaps. Machado is a fast player, which enables him to turn singles into hustle doubles. Even if Machado falls short, but records at least 60 doubles, he will be the first player since 1936 to hit more than 60 doubles.

The Rays and Orioles will make the ALDS and the Yankees and Red Sox will miss the Playoffs

Although the Red Sox have the most wins in baseball and leading the division, 2.5 games over the Rays, 4.5 games over the Orioles, and 3 games over the Texas Rangers, the Rays, Orioles and Rangers have better teams than the Red Sox.

Rays’ Case: The Rays are finally hitting this season. This is a scary thought for AL teams considering their fantastic rotation. This year the Rays offense has dramatically improved because Evan Longoria is healthy, Wil Meyers is good, and James Loney has added a solid average to the lineup. The Rays lineup has a good combination of speed and power. Although the rotation was shaky at the start of the season, most of their starters are healthy and pitching well. After returning from the DL, David Price has returned to his Cy Young form, 3 starts, 25 innings, and 3 ER. The emergence of Alex Cobb, Jeremy Hellickson, Chris Archer, and especially Matt Moore has soften the loss of James Shield. The Rays have won 14 of their last 16 games because of their great pitching and hitting. Expect the Rays to continue their success and make the ALDS this season.

Orioles’s Case: The Orioles have scored the third most runs in the AL because of their intimidating lineup. The Orioles’ lineup has 4 All-Stars and other quality hitters. The addition of Brian Roberts will add a new dimension and impact to the Orioles lineup. The lineup is lead by superstars Chris Davis, Adam Jones, and Manny Machado. The Orioles lineup does not have any weaknesses, which will lead it to the playoffs and possibility a World Series run. If the Orioles are able to add another starting pitcher, they will be an extremely scary team. The addition of Scott Feldman and the emergence of All-Star Chris Tillman will lead the Orioles into the playoffs. When Chen returns after the All-Star break, the Orioles will have another quality starter, which only strengthens their case.

Rangers’ Case: The Rangers are one of the most complete teams in the AL because they have a good lineup and pitching depth. Although the pitching rotation has experienced injuries, Derek Holland and Yu Darvish have pitched well and are carrying the rotation. The emergence of Martin Perez has helped the Rangers’ stay in the playoff race. The Rangers have the best minor league system, which will enable them to obtain a pitcher at the trade deadline. The Rangers are probably going to trade for a Matt Garza or another top end starting pitcher. The Rangers’ offense is extremely dynamic and intimidating. The Rangers have a great offense because they have stars like Adrian Beltre, Nelson Cruz, Ian Kinsler, and Jurickson Profar. The Rangers have a great mixture of power and speed, which has enabled them to win dozens of games.

AL Coach of the Year

John Farrell

John Farrell
John Farrell

The manager of the Boston Red Sox is doing a great job. Before the season, the Red Sox were predicted to be the fourth best team in the AL EAST by the ESPN “experts. However, the Red Sox have exceeded everybody’s expectations. They are leading the AL East by 2.5 games and possess the most wins in MLB. The key to the Red Sox’s success is their hitting. The Red Sox’s are ranked one or two in Runs, Batting Average, On Base, and Slugging. Farrell has gained the trust and challenged his hitters. Farrell has done a great job with the pitchers as well. Farrell has been known has a pitching guru for the Red Sox and Blue Jays. Last year, the Red Sox’s ranked third to last in the AL in pitching with a 4.70 ERA. This year, there ERA is a solid 3.91. Farrell has even been able to turn around Clay and John Lackey, which Bobby Valentine could not accomplish.

NL Coach of the Year

Clint Hurdle

Clint Hurdle
Clint Hurdle

During Clint’s third season, the Pirates are having a great season and will end their 20 year streak of finishing under .500. Although many people predicted the Pirates to finish fourth in the NL Central, the Pirates have exceed expectations, possessing the second highest winning percentage in MLB. The Pirates have been able to maintain their success because of their great pitching. The Pirates are ranked top two in ERA, WHIP, and Batting Average Against. Although the Pirate’s offense does not scare many pitchers, the pitching can continue leading them to victories. Clint Hurdle has done a great job with his bullpen. Hurdle’s trust in his bullpen has repaid greatly repaid him. The Pirates have some of the best relievers, Jason Grilli, Mark Melancon, and Justin Wilson.

AL Rookie of the Year

Chris Archer

Chris Archer
Chris Archer

Unlike last season, the rookie class is not very impressive. Currently, there is not one rookie, who is worthy or has distanced himself from the field. However, the pitch who is having a solid season and has the ability to continue his success is Chris Archer. The 24 year old right hander is having an good year for the Rays. Although he has only recorded 9 starts, Chris Archer has 4 wins and a solid 2.96 ERA. Chris Archer has the lowest ERA among starters who have started more than three games. The starter with the next closest ERA, who has started as many games as Archer, is Dan Strailey, 4.28. Although Archer is not leading rookies in strikeouts, he will be competing for that title at the end of the year, when he gets more starts.

NL Rookie of the Year

Yasiel Puig

Yasiel Puig
Yasiel Puig

Yasiel Puig has been one of the most exciting players in baseball since being called up last month. Although Puig has been injured and struggled lately, he is batting .391 with 8 HR, 19 RBI, and 28 Runs in 38 games. As long as Puig’s hip injury does not hamper him much longer, Puig should earn the Rookie of the Year award. If the Dodgers rebound and make the playoffs, Puig will be given more credit. Since Puig’s promotion, the Dodgers have winning baseball, they won eight more games than they lost. This surge has catapulted them into the playoff race, 2.5 games behind the Diamondbacks. Puig has a 2.7 WAR because he is great offensive and defensive ball player. Puig will experience great success in the future because he has all five tools.

AL Cy Young

Felix Hernandez

Felix Hernandez
Felix Hernandez

The 2010 Cy Young winner has a good chance of winning his second Cy Young Award. King Felix is a legitimate ace, who can go deep into games and dominate lineups. Hernandez strikeouts more than a batter per inning.  Hernandez’s stats are great, 2.53 ERA, 1.10 WHIP, 4.7 WAR, 10 W, 140 K, and 138.2 IP. Unlike previous years, Hernandez has a decent amount of wins, which helps his Cy Young case. Hernandez is top six in every major statistical category, including first in innings and ERA. As long as Felix does not stop his success, Felix will be winning the 2013 Cy Young Award.

NL Cy Young

Clayton Kershaw

Clayton Kershaw
Clayton Kershaw

The 2011 Cy Young Award winner is only 25 and has a great chance of winning his second Cy Young Award. Kershaw is top five in MLB in ERA, WHIP, WAR, K, and IP. Kershaw is the only pitcher in baseball, who an ERA under 2, WHIP under 1, or WAR over 5. Also, Kershaw is leading the league in shutouts. Although Kershaw does not have many wins, 8, he is worthy of winning the CY Young Award. Since the Dodgers have been winning of late, Kershaw will be garnering more wins to support his effort. Kershaw will be winning the 2013 NL Cy Young Award.

AL MVP

Miguel Cabrera

Miguel Cabrera
Miguel Cabrera

Miggy is an absolute beast and one of the best hitters in MLB history. Miggy was the first player to ever hit 30 home runs and 95 RBI by the All-Star break. Cabrera is on pace to hit .365/165RBI/52HR/127R, which would be one of the greatest seasons of all-time. Miggy has a great chance of winning his second straight MVP and Triple Crown, which would be the first time in MLB history. Cabrera has risen above every other batter. He is leading the AL in AVG, R, H, RBI, BB, OBP, OPS, and WAR. Although Cabrera is not a great defensive player, Cabrera is one of the best hitters of this generation.

NL MVP

Yadier Molina

Yadier Molina
Yadier Molina

Molina is the heart and soul of the Cardinals, who own the best record in the majors. Molina is a great two way player. Molina is the best defensive player at any position in MLB. Besides for shutting down the running game, Molina is able to manage a pitching a staff better than any other catcher in the league. Although the St. Louis rotation does not have the talent like other teams, the Cardinals have the third best ERA in the league. Molina has become a better hitter every year of his career. Molina is looking to become the second catcher in a row to win the batting title. Molina is batting over .340 and should be rewarded with the NL MVP

Stats and Pics from ESPN.com